Meeko
FGM
I raccoon it's time to play Mafia
Posts: 2,474
[ Exalt | Smite ]
Karma:
|
Post by Meeko on Jul 28, 2011 23:07:43 GMT -5
Not sure what to say to you gang. That was a clusterfuck of a day. But I still think you guys come out ahead in the long run. Frankly, I think you guys had an advantage from the start, beyond the normal advantage scum has in Mafia. I can't wait to see who you guys decide to kill tonight. The suspense is killing me.
|
|
|
Post by gnarlycharlie on Jul 29, 2011 4:05:12 GMT -5
gee, who do we kill? Bill is always a good choice. ;D
unless CIAS objects,
CIAS kills fubbleskag.
not sure how we come out ahead. out only advantage now is that they think there are three more of us.
|
|
|
Post by CatInASuit on Jul 29, 2011 4:28:19 GMT -5
The game is pretty much over at this point, but we may as well play to the bitter end.
This game is devolved into a game of increase the known TOWN pool to a size where the scum can't kill them off before they run out of players to hide against.
If we kill the cop, the vig becomes a known town player tomorrow and we will have 5 known town and 5 unknown. After a day lynch and the following night when the vig will kill another unknown and we kill him, leaving 4 known and only 3 known, which with another Day lynch is game over.
So killing the cop will pretty much lead to a loss.
The actual best result for us would be for the investigator and vig to actually hit scum tonight. Counter-intuitive perhaps, but there you go.
If we kill the Vig, we have a small but possible chance of the cop investigating the vig in the town pool, which doesn't help the town. Same principle also works for him finding scum.
Then it goes like this, 5 known and 5 unknown, a lynch in the unknown pool and a cop NK'd goes to 4 known and 4 unknown, and we play one for one to the end.
If he picks a normal vanilla, then it goes 6 known and 4 unknown and it becomes game over.
Looking at it, our best option is to take out the Vig and not only that, but for the vig and cop to work on the same scum.
Effectively, it just became a game of treble or quits.
|
|
|
Post by CatInASuit on Jul 29, 2011 4:47:47 GMT -5
We do have one possible advantage though. From what Meeko said on Night 1 #24.
Yeah, this one, which I take to read that if the scum targets the Vig, he will die before the vig can NK another player.
Meeko: Is this correct?
If this is correct, then if we hit the Vig first, we kill him before he kills anyone else.
Of the players remaining, I doubt storyteller or SisC are the Vig because they were not around to give a PM to kill Pinkies.It's meta gaming, but its the best I got.
That leaves JBG, Sticks or SubPlank.
Of the players remaining, I would guess that SubPlank was the Vig given his reaction to Pinkies death and his comments about hitting town/scum.
Ok, if Meeko comfirms the above is accurate, then I'm fine with NK'ing fubbleskag, and then next Night you get in a very early order to kill the Vig, who is likely to have claimed tomorrow.
Otherwise, we need to hit the Vig tonight and hope fubbleskag either doesn't send in an order or investigates me or the Vig.
|
|
|
Post by CatInASuit on Jul 29, 2011 4:50:22 GMT -5
Is it still to late to get a sub, I'm still busy
|
|
|
Post by gnarlycharlie on Jul 29, 2011 12:00:58 GMT -5
i agree with your logic. let's wait for the reply.
|
|
Meeko
FGM
I raccoon it's time to play Mafia
Posts: 2,474
[ Exalt | Smite ]
Karma:
|
Post by Meeko on Jul 30, 2011 22:33:11 GMT -5
The Vig will not be able to NK if he/she is already dead.
|
|