Post by septimus on Jun 7, 2012 13:31:44 GMT -5
... septimus has it as a given that there is at least one more doctor. We can't know that as town, but it would be very obvious to scum, especially if they had been blocked last Night.
The fact that it's already Day 5, Pleo has NOT been Night Killed and had NOT claimed Mason or Detective made it very likely, it seems to me, that he is Scum. I wanted to point that out. And, yes, force him to make a more specific claim.
I still think Pleo is odds-on favorite to be Scum. If he really is Detective, I think he played poorly. I still don't know why he claimed Night 0, unless his reputation as a good player is so high that he thought it important to get Doc's Protection. And I think a Detective, especially one who has already told Scum he's a Power, should breadcrumb his Results.
I favor giving Pleo a pass for now just because it would be such a big loss to lose him if he's telling the truth. My suspicion will grow as he survives, but Scum is subject to WIFOM pressure (perhaps Doc will ignore me and Protect Pleo; perhaps Town will misLynch Pleo toMorrow).
I don't know how many Detectives or Doctors we started with (and offering advice to "Doctors" does NOT mean I know them to exist), but if Scum have 3 times the usual number of Night Kills, it might make sense that we have 3 times the usual number of Doctors. I worry we may have only two Detectives but do NOT think a hidden Detective should claim now just to discredit Pleo.
BTW, I don't suspect CatInaSuit of being Scum despite that he voted me.
(... But I wrote that last sentence NOT because I find CIAS particularly Townish, but just to show how easy it is for a hidden Detective to "breadcrumb" a Result, like "CIAS is not Scum." BTW, I am not a Detective: that was just an example.)
(On a separate matter, the value of a Scum in a Game without Detectives is proportional to the square-root of Town side, NOT a constant -- see Wikipedia -- , so I'd be leery of applying "JSexton points" to a game so different in size from usual.)